چکیده: (3 مشاهده)
Background: The phenomenon of climate change has been declared by international organizations as one of the greatest health challenges of the century. This study aimed to assess the vulnerability of occupational risk factors of workers to climate change and predict the values of the relevant indicators in the future.
Materials and Methods: This study was conducted in 2021 in Khorasan razavi province. Occupational health indicators affected by climate change were extracted from a literature review. Then, information on available occupational and climatic indicators were collected and significant relationships between occupational health indicators and climate parameters were determined through stepwise regression modeling in SPSS software (P-value<0.05). Equations were formulated and occupational indicators were predicted based on optimistic (SSP1-2.6), moderate (SSP3-7.0), and pessimistic (SSP5-8.5) scenarios for the period 2021-2100.
Results: The results showed that occupational risk factors significantly affected by climate change in this province include heat and radiation. Wind speed and relative humidity as climate parameters had the greatest impact on the studied indicators. The predicted future average values indicated that the percentages of workers exposed to heat stress and radiation to increase by 2.6 and 2.9 times, respectively.
Conclusion: The effects of climate change have been confirmed in Khorasan razavi province of Iran and based on predictions in this study, these harmful effects will increase in work environments in the future, which could ultimately result in occupational accidents and work –related diseases. Therefore, it is recommended policymakers to determine and implement climate change mitigation and adaptation strategies to reduce the vulnerability of the workers in Iran.
Materials and Methods: This study was conducted in 2021 in Khorasan razavi province. Occupational health indicators affected by climate change were extracted from a literature review. Then, information on available occupational and climatic indicators were collected and significant relationships between occupational health indicators and climate parameters were determined through stepwise regression modeling in SPSS software (P-value<0.05). Equations were formulated and occupational indicators were predicted based on optimistic (SSP1-2.6), moderate (SSP3-7.0), and pessimistic (SSP5-8.5) scenarios for the period 2021-2100.
Results: The results showed that occupational risk factors significantly affected by climate change in this province include heat and radiation. Wind speed and relative humidity as climate parameters had the greatest impact on the studied indicators. The predicted future average values indicated that the percentages of workers exposed to heat stress and radiation to increase by 2.6 and 2.9 times, respectively.
Conclusion: The effects of climate change have been confirmed in Khorasan razavi province of Iran and based on predictions in this study, these harmful effects will increase in work environments in the future, which could ultimately result in occupational accidents and work –related diseases. Therefore, it is recommended policymakers to determine and implement climate change mitigation and adaptation strategies to reduce the vulnerability of the workers in Iran.
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